Bushfire intelligence · Australia

Predict bushfire spread. Protect what matters.

Fire Path AI combines authoritative Australian data with established fire-behaviour models to estimate where a fire may spread - and when it could reach the assets you care about.

S34 S35 S36 1h 3h 6h Modelled spread · illustrative Prepare Leave Now Est. time to impact ≈ 42 min
Sources
FIRMS · DEA · BOM
Model
McArthur + WindNinja
Output
Spread + time-to-impact
Method
Deterministic

Trusted data sources

  • NASA FIRMS Active-fire hotspots
  • Digital Earth Australia Satellite hotspots
  • Bureau of Meteorology / Open-Meteo Weather + wind
  • WindNinja Terrain-aware wind (optional)
  • McArthur FFDI Fire danger index

By the numbers

A working pipeline, not a pitch deck.

5
Data & model sources FIRMS · DEA · BOM · WindNinja · McArthur
10 min
Fastest hotspot refresh Digital Earth Australia geostationary feed
1–12 h
Modelled spread horizons a corridor that bends with the wind
4
Stage pipeline detect · model · map · alert

Structural facts about how the platform is built — not performance, accuracy, or uptime claims.

The problem

Bushfire risk moves faster than the paperwork.

When a fire starts, the people responsible for homes, infrastructure, and land need to know one thing quickly: is it coming our way, and how long do we have? That answer depends on terrain, wind, fuel, and where the fire already is - data that exists, but rarely in one place, mapped against the specific assets that matter to you.

Fire Path AI brings those sources together and turns them into a clear, repeatable picture of modelled spread and estimated time-to-impact.

How it works

From a satellite detection to your doorstep

One deterministic pipeline. The same inputs always produce the same, inspectable result — so the live map and the warning that reaches you can never disagree.

Authoritative inputs
  • FIRMS
  • DEA
  • BOM
  • WindNinja
  • McArthur
  1. 01

    Detect

    Where fires are, right now.

    Active-fire hotspots are drawn from NASA FIRMS and Digital Earth Australia on a regular cycle, giving a current national picture of where fires have been detected.

  2. 02

    Model

    Where a fire may spread, and when.

    Established fire-behaviour models (McArthur) estimate spread from the detected fire, driven by weather and wind - refined over local terrain with WindNinja where terrain processing is enabled.

  3. 03

    Map

    Against the assets that matter to you.

    Modelled spread and estimated time-to-impact are shown against the specific places you have registered - homes, sites, infrastructure, and land.

  4. 04

    Alert

    To the people responsible.

    As risk to a registered asset changes, the people responsible for it are notified - so the right person acts on the right information in time.

Delivered to the right person — in time to act

Capabilities

What Fire Path AI does

Fire behaviour modelling

Wind-adjusted spread modelling on the McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index, with optional WindNinja terrain-aware wind fields where terrain processing is enabled.

Satellite hotspot detection

Active-fire hotspots from NASA FIRMS and Digital Earth Australia, mapped against your registered assets.

Asset protection

Register the places that matter and see modelled spread and estimated time-to-impact as conditions change.

Alerting

Configurable alerts as risk to a registered asset changes - delivered to the people responsible for it.

Organisations & roles

Organisations with role-based access, so teams see and manage only what they should.

Deterministic by design

Predictions come from published physics and rules-based models - transparent and repeatable, not a black box.

See the full capability catalogue, honestly labelled

Measured, not claimed Predict Observe Score Refine

The prove-it loop

We measure the prediction — we don't just claim it.

Anyone can draw a cone on a map. The harder, honest question is whether it was right. Fire Path AI keeps score — the mechanism that turns a projection into evidence.

  1. 1 Predict

    Each modelled spread corridor is stored immutably, stamped with the exact model version that produced it — so it can never be quietly rewritten after the fact.

  2. 2 Observe

    As the fire moves, its real perimeter is recorded over time from the same satellite feeds that detected it.

  3. 3 Score

    Prediction meets reality: overlap, head-position error in kilometres, and containment — did the fire stay inside the corridor we drew?

  4. 4 Refine

    Scores accumulate per model version, so every change to the engine is evidenced against real events, not assumed.

Accuracy figures are deliberately not published yet — they require scores across real fire events and expert sign-off. The mechanism is built and running; the claim waits for the evidence.

Why deterministic

Transparent models, not a black box.

Fire Path AI v1 produces predictions from published physics and rules-based models. That is a deliberate choice for life-safety and government use.

  • Repeatable. The same inputs produce the same output, every time.
  • Inspectable. Results trace back to the data and models that produced them.
  • Auditable. No opaque scoring standing between the inputs and the outcome.

On the roadmap: learning from historical fires to help refine spread prediction over time.

Request a briefing

See Fire Path AI applied to your assets.

Request a briefing and we'll walk through the modelling, the data sources, and how it maps to what you protect.